The latest Metron Analysis poll for October, presented on Mega News, shows a slight recovery for New Democracy (ND), while highlighting the disruptions caused by the upcoming new political movements led by Alexis Tsipras and Kostas Samaras.
Key Findings of the Poll
- New Democracy (ND): 28.7% (+0.5 points from September)
- PASOK: 12.8% (-0.7 points)
- Greek Solution: 11.7% (stable)
- KKE (Communist Party): 10% (+0.3 points)
- Plefsi Eleftherias: 9.9% (stable)
- SYRIZA: declining by 1.3 points ahead of Tsipras’ new party
- Voice of Reason: slight decrease as attention shifts to the upcoming “Samaras Party”
The results outline a nine-party parliamentary landscape, where the traditional ND–SYRIZA/PASOK opposition is gradually reshaped by new forces and movements within both the center-left and right.
Analysis of Trends
New Democracy appears to capitalize on the decline of traditional opposition parties, gaining half a percentage point. SYRIZA’s decline (-1.3 points) is primarily attributed to anticipation surrounding Tsipras’ new political party, which is already absorbing part of its electoral base.
PASOK, falling to 12.8%, faces a fragmentation of the center-left, as new political formations compete for the same voter segment.
The stability of the Greek Solution and the small increase in KKE indicate a solid voter base at the political extremes, while Plefsi Eleftherias maintains its momentum near 10%.
Impact of New Parties
The expected launch of the “Tsipras Party” is already causing shifts:
- SYRIZA loses influence even before the party officially appears.
- The center-left risks splitting into several smaller formations, weakening political cohesion.
- The right watches closely, as voter movements could either strengthen ND or create turbulence around Samaras’ new party.
This dynamic shows that the next election will be fought in a multi-party environment, where political balances can shift rapidly.