A new opinion poll published on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, by Interview for the Greek newspaper Political reveals a fragmented opposition landscape, with New Democracy maintaining a substantial lead over its political rivals.
The governing party stands at 29.6% in the projected election result, compared with 15.7% for Alexis Tsipras’ Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) and 14.6% for PASOK, led by Nikos Androulakis.
The 13.9-percentage-point gap between New Democracy and ELAS is one of the survey’s most significant findings.
Meanwhile, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads the party leaders’ governing-trust indicator with 32.2%, compared with 13.2% for Tsipras and 10.6% for Androulakis.
But the survey also reveals widespread dissatisfaction with the opposition: 61% of respondents say neither ELAS nor PASOK offers the more credible opposition to the government.
Together, these findings illustrate a political environment in which the governing party retains a clear polling advantage, while opposition forces compete for electoral support and public credibility.
New Democracy at 29.6%: A 13.9-Point Advantage
According to Interview’s projected election result, the parties receive the following percentages:
- New Democracy: 29.6%
- Greek Left Alliance (ELAS): 15.7%
- PASOK: 14.6%
- Greek Solution: 7.6%
- Communist Party of Greece (KKE): 6.1%
- Hope for Democracy: 4.3%
- Voice of Reason: 3.7%
- Alliance of Greeks: 3.7%
- MeRA25: 3.3%
- Course of Freedom: 3.0%
- Other smaller political formations: the remaining share
New Democracy’s projected share is approximately 1.9 times that of ELAS, its nearest rival.
The result provides a favorable polling indicator for the governing party, particularly against the backdrop of public concerns over living costs, energy prices and household purchasing power.
However, the figures do not establish whether New Democracy could secure a parliamentary majority in a future election.
That would depend on the actual election results, the distribution of votes among parties and the applicable electoral system.
Voting Intention: ND at 27%, ELAS at 14.3%, PASOK at 13.3%
The voting-intention figures present a similar picture.
New Democracy leads with 27%, followed by ELAS at 14.3% and PASOK at 13.3%.
Greek Solution receives 6.9%, KKE 5.6%, Hope for Democracy 3.9%, Voice of Reason 3.4%, Alliance of Greeks 3.4%, and MeRA25 3%.
Course of Freedom stands at 2.7%, while undecided voters account for 8.8%.
The difference between New Democracy and ELAS is 12.7 percentage points, while the gap between ELAS and PASOK is just one point.
The distinction between voting intention and projected election results is important.
Voting intention reflects respondents’ stated preferences, including uncertainty, while projected results involve statistical adjustments made by the polling company.
Both indicators place New Democracy first and show a closely contested second position.
Mitsotakis Leads Governing-Trust Indicator at 32.2%
One of the most politically significant findings concerns public confidence in party leaders.
When respondents were asked which political leader they trust most to govern Greece, Kyriakos Mitsotakis received 32.2%.
The response “None” came second at 20.7%.
Alexis Tsipras received 13.2%, followed by Nikos Androulakis at 10.6%.
The remaining responses were distributed as follows:
Kyriakos Velopoulos received 5%, Dimitris Koutsoumpas 4.6%, Maria Karystianou 3.1%, Yanis Varoufakis 3%, Afroditi Latinopoulou 2.3%, Zoe Konstantopoulou 2.2%, and Stefanos Kasselakis 1.9%.
Dimitris Natsios and Gavriil Sakellaridis each received 0.6%.
Mitsotakis leads Tsipras by 19 percentage points and Androulakis by 21.6 points on this measure.
The figures indicate that the prime minister retains a considerably higher level of expressed governing trust than any individual opposition leader in this survey.
At the same time, the 20.7% selecting no leader suggests that political distrust extends beyond any single party.
The 61% Finding: A Serious Credibility Challenge for the Opposition
Perhaps the most revealing result concerns the perceived credibility of the opposition.
Respondents were asked which of the two parties, regardless of their own voting preferences, provides the more credible opposition to the government.
The results were:
- Neither party: 61%
- PASOK: 24%
- ELAS: 15%
The finding exposes a significant challenge for both opposition parties.
Although ELAS narrowly leads PASOK in projected electoral support, PASOK performs considerably better when voters compare the two parties’ opposition credibility.
The difference is nine percentage points in PASOK’s favor.
This suggests that electoral preference and perceptions of opposition effectiveness are not necessarily aligned.
Crucially, the 61% result does not mean that those respondents support New Democracy.
It means that, when offered the two specific opposition parties as alternatives, a majority selected neither.
Tsipras Versus Androulakis: A Battle With Different Strengths
The poll reveals contrasting strengths for Alexis Tsipras and Nikos Androulakis.
For Tsipras, the projected 15.7% vote share places ELAS in second position, narrowly ahead of PASOK.
His party also performs better in the leadership-strength comparison between the two opposition formations.
However, ELAS receives only 15% when respondents assess which of the two parties offers more credible opposition.
For Androulakis, the picture is almost the reverse.
PASOK trails ELAS in projected electoral support but leads in opposition credibility, policy proposals and party personnel.
The figures suggest that the two parties face different political challenges.
ELAS must translate its electoral and leadership appeal into broader confidence in its opposition role.
PASOK must convert its comparative strengths in programmatic credibility and personnel into stronger voting support.
Neither outcome is guaranteed by the survey.
PASOK Leads on Policies and Personnel, ELAS on Leadership
Interview’s head-to-head comparison between PASOK and ELAS provides further insight.
Asked which party offers the better political program, 40% selected PASOK, compared with 21% for ELAS.
The remaining 39% either chose neither party or did not express a preference.
On party personnel, PASOK’s advantage was even greater.
42% favored PASOK, while 18% selected ELAS and 40% fell into the remaining response category.
The leadership question produced the opposite result.
ELAS received 40% for stronger leadership, compared with 20% for PASOK, with 40% selecting neither or offering no preference.
These findings highlight three separate dimensions of political competition.
PASOK performs better on program and personnel, while ELAS performs better on leadership.
They also show that neither party commands majority support on any of the three comparisons.
Greek Solution, KKE and Smaller Parties: A Fragmented Political Landscape
Beyond the competition among the three leading parties, the survey illustrates the continuing fragmentation of Greek politics.
Greek Solution stands at 7.6% in the projected election result, making it the fourth-largest party in this measurement.
The Communist Party follows at 6.1%.
Hope for Democracy receives 4.3%, while Voice of Reason and Alliance of Greeks each stand at 3.7%.
MeRA25 is at 3.3%, and Course of Freedom reaches 3%.
Several political formations are therefore polling near or above Greece’s 3% parliamentary entry threshold.
However, a polling figure close to that threshold does not establish whether a party will ultimately enter parliament.
The final outcome would depend on actual votes cast in an election.
Economic Pressures Remain Central to Political Competition
The poll comes during a period of intense debate over energy prices, household incomes, taxation and the cost of living.
The Mitsotakis government has emphasized fiscal stability, investment and targeted economic support as central elements of its policy agenda.
PASOK has challenged the government’s approach to taxation, purchasing power and social protection.
Tsipras and ELAS have sought to present an alternative political and economic framework, emphasizing social policy and criticism of the government’s economic model.
Greek Solution has focused on household affordability alongside national-policy issues, while KKE continues to emphasize wages, labor rights and the economic position of workers.
Course of Freedom has placed particular emphasis on institutional accountability and government scrutiny.
These are broader political positions, not newly verified reactions from the parties to this specific Interview poll.
The survey itself does not establish which policy proposals voters consider most effective in addressing the energy crisis.
Comparing the October Poll With September
A previous Interview survey published on September 3 placed New Democracy at 29.1%, ELAS at 15.5% and PASOK at 13.2% in the projected election result.
The October figures are 29.6%, 15.7% and 14.6%, respectively.
The numerical changes are:
- New Democracy: +0.5 percentage points
- ELAS: +0.2 percentage points
- PASOK: +1.4 percentage points
The figures suggest broadly similar relative positions across the two measurements, with PASOK recording the largest numerical increase among the three.
However, these movements cannot automatically be treated as statistically significant without considering sample sizes, methodology and margins of error.
The comparison should therefore be interpreted cautiously.
What the Poll Reveals About Greece’s Political Balance
Three findings stand out from the October Interview survey.
First, New Democracy retains a substantial lead in both voting intention and projected election results.
Second, Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads the governing-trust measure by a considerable margin over individual opposition leaders.
Third, ELAS and PASOK remain closely matched in electoral support but demonstrate different strengths in leadership, policy credibility and opposition performance.
The 61% rejection of both parties as the more credible opposition is particularly important because it reveals dissatisfaction that extends beyond the competition for second place.
For the government, the poll provides evidence of a continued advantage in current voter preferences.
For the opposition, it highlights the difficulty of transforming criticism of government policy into a convincing alternative.
Nevertheless, polling results represent public attitudes at a particular moment. They are not forecasts of an inevitable election outcome.
The central political picture is clear: New Democracy leads by 13.9 points, Mitsotakis heads the governing-trust measure, and Greece’s opposition remains divided both electorally and in perceptions of credibility.
Source: pagenews.gr